Every league has a personality. Some are built for Overs, some for Unders, some for cards. If you bet the same way in every league, you're ignoring one of the easiest edges in football: knowing what's normal.
We analysed 2,862 matches from the 2025/26 season across 8 European leagues in the StatPair database: goals, Over 2.5, both teams to score (BTTS), results, cards and corners.
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Key findings
- Bundesliga and Eredivisie are the Overs leagues. 63.4% and 62.1% of matches went Over 2.5 goals.
- Serie A is the Unders league. Only 45.6% went Over 2.5, and 9.7% finished 0-0, the highest of the eight.
- Cards vary more than goals. Primeira Liga averaged 4.96 yellow cards per game and La Liga 4.43, against 3.23 in the Eredivisie.
- Corners barely change by league. Every league averaged between 8.9 and 10.5 corners per game.
- Home advantage is real but modest. Home teams won 38-48% of matches depending on the league.
The league table: 2025/26 season
| League | Matches | Goals/game | Over 2.5 | BTTS | 0-0 | Yellows/game | Corners/game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 303 | 3.23 | 63.4% | 61.7% | 4.0% | 3.83 | 9.8 |
| Eredivisie | 301 | 3.19 | 62.1% | 62.5% | 3.3% | 3.23 | 10.5 |
| Ligue 1 | 300 | 2.81 | 52.7% | 50.7% | 7.3% | 3.75 | 9.7 |
| Premier League | 374 | 2.73 | 54.8% | 56.1% | 7.2% | 3.83 | 10.0 |
| La Liga | 365 | 2.71 | 50.1% | 57.0% | 3.8% | 4.43 | 9.7 |
| Primeira Liga | 299 | 2.66 | 53.2% | 48.5% | 6.7% | 4.96 | 9.5 |
| Championship | 547 | 2.58 | 49.9% | 56.3% | 6.6% | 3.76 | 10.3 |
| Serie A | 373 | 2.42 | 45.6% | 45.3% | 9.7% | 3.69 | 8.9 |
Source: StatPair database, 2025/26 league matches with full statistics.
Results: home, draw, away
| League | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 48.2% | 24.7% | 27.1% |
| Ligue 1 | 47.0% | 24.3% | 28.7% |
| Eredivisie | 45.2% | 25.9% | 28.9% |
| Bundesliga | 43.6% | 24.8% | 31.7% |
| Premier League | 43.0% | 27.5% | 29.4% |
| Championship | 41.9% | 26.5% | 31.6% |
| Primeira Liga | 39.8% | 27.8% | 32.4% |
| Serie A | 38.3% | 26.3% | 35.4% |
La Liga had the strongest home advantage of the eight. In Serie A, away teams won almost as often as home teams. Home vs away stats: why location matters →
League by league: what each one is good for
Bundesliga - the Overs league
- 3.23 goals per game, 63.4% Over 2.5, 61.7% BTTS.
- Only 4.0% of matches finished 0-0.
Markets to research: Over 2.5, BTTS, team totals.
Watch out: bookmakers know the Bundesliga is high-scoring, so Over lines are priced accordingly. The league average alone isn't an edge; the edge is in matches where the specific teams are below or above that norm.
Eredivisie - goals and corners
- 3.19 goals per game, 62.1% Over 2.5, and the highest BTTS rate (62.5%).
- The most corners (10.5 per game) and the fewest yellow cards (3.23).
Markets to research: BTTS, Overs, corners Overs. Avoid card Overs unless the referee is strict.
Premier League - the balanced league
- 2.73 goals per game, 54.8% Over 2.5, 56.1% BTTS.
- The highest draw rate of the big five (27.5%).
- 3.83 yellows and 10.0 corners per game.
Markets to research: player props and cards (with referee data; the gap between strict and lenient referees is 71%). The Premier League has the sharpest main-market odds, so props and cards are where research pays off. Premier League referee stats →
La Liga - cards and home advantage
- 2.71 goals per game, but 57.0% BTTS and only 3.8% 0-0.
- 4.43 yellow cards per game, the second-highest of the eight, and the strongest home advantage (48.2% home wins).
Markets to research: card Overs, home handicaps, BTTS. Booking points by league →
Ligue 1 - home teams
- 2.81 goals per game, 52.7% Over 2.5.
- 47.0% home wins, the second-highest of the eight.
Markets to research: home win and home handicaps, with team-specific analysis.
Primeira Liga - the cards league
- 4.96 yellow cards per game, the most of any league we analysed.
- 2.66 goals per game, 48.5% BTTS.
Markets to research: card Overs and player bookings (always check the referee).
Championship - volume
- 547 matches, the most of any league here, with 2.58 goals per game and 49.9% Over 2.5.
- 10.3 corners per game.
Markets to research: corners and team stats. The large number of matches means a big sample for each team, but squad rotation and the long season add variance. Small leagues and lower divisions →
Serie A - the Unders league
- 2.42 goals per game, the fewest of the eight. Only 45.6% Over 2.5 and 45.3% BTTS.
- 9.7% of matches finished 0-0, the highest rate.
- The fewest corners (8.9 per game) and the smallest home advantage (38.3% home wins).
Markets to research: Under 2.5, BTTS No, draws, away teams on the handicap.